Is anyone consistently beating the main services that are going for .orgs?
I imagine they aren't, at least for domains that are worth enough to have a pool bid on, unless they have their own registry connection, or at least something more powerful than eNom with its limit of one check every 5 seconds for .orgs.
Of the 56 names I have watched in the past 11 days, only two went to any thing other than a .org catching service, and that was 11 days ago, nothing in the last 10.
But maybe this isn't so much shaggy's question. Perhaps you just want to know _when_
If you really want to know the times of such things, nothing beats a bit of investigation ;-) (but this probably takes a bit of time and patience)