GeneralBill said:
I have friends in China and have lived there for about half a year, so I have good insight into how they have been doing the Internet and will probably continue to do the Internet. IDNs are not popular. English and pinyin are the long established choices for domain names. IDNs pose a huge problem for email compatibility. I've hedged myself with a mixture of IDNs, as well as pinyin and English dot cn and dot coms. However, I see the brightest future for the pinyin dot coms. Just like coms are where all the money is in the US because they become popular first, I believe pinyin and English domains are where all the money is for domains in China. Dot cn and dot com are the only two extensions worth investing in in my opinion. I must admit that I trust the com tld more than the cn tld for stability of ownership.
I agree with you on the dot com and we have proved that these carry more traffic than dot cn.
One of the things that is going to mitigate against pinyin is the amount of space it will take on a mobile phone. In fact Chinese characters will display more information in given space than any other language on the planet. More Chinese actually access the internet by mobile phone than by computer.
Inputting speeds are also a factor. Ten year ago inputting Chinese Characters was a nightmare due to the shear numbers, but they have developed keyboards and software that enable characters to be compiled rather than selected. I think it is likely that the same information can probably be input faster in Chinese Characters now than is possible in English on a Qwerty Keyboard.
Email compatibility will be an issue until Vista is widely adopted, as Outlook won't handle email without a pluggin. There is not a problem per se as long as you have the right equipment. The Chinese have already surmounted huge problems in converting characters to Unicode and enabling search in Chinese. Yes, there are still further problems to be resolved in regard to IDN, but these are more political than technical and the political will to resolve these problems has not only been explicitily express by China, but also India and Saudi Arabia.
Despite the descenters, the eventual adoption of IDN is a forgone conclusion. It is only really a question of it being brought on within a realistic time frame. Not only are all the important institutions of Asia commited to this, but so are the main US players i.e. Microsoft, Verisign, Google and Yahoo.
There are important reasons for having IDN domains and one of the most important is the ability to Index Keywords in the URL against search terms. Google and Yahoo have already done this, although characteristically Microsoft is lagging behind. Having said that Microsoft has now got all the major languages of Asia indexed for search.
Many here regard this as trivial and irritating. Clearly some do not understand the difference between a ccTLD and an IDN. It does not really matter as the markets that most of the participants of this forum address will be largely unaffected by the adoption of IDN. However, more than half of humanity live in Asia and do not write in Latin Characters. The adoption of IDN is essential to the future growth of developing economies and the World Economy in general. It will happen, it is not just another tower of Babel, but the time scale is still uncertain.
Best Regards
Dave Wrixon