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Given that we've just flipped the calendar into a new year, I thought it would be handy to sum up where IDNs seem to be right now.
Right now, most major languages (Japanese, Russian, Korean, Chinese, Arabic etc.) have been fairly well "mined". Having said that, lateral thinking will still net results, especially in the realm of two-word keyphrases (just be VERY sure they're truly "generic" in the target language).
There are a lot of folks out there waiting for the boost from IE7. Microsoft muddied the waters by rolling the new browser out in a staggered fashion via autoupdate i.e. instead of it being presented to all users, it is only being presented to a subset, with that subset growing by perhaps a million a week. As such, it may take many months for EVERY eligible computer user to see an autoupdate for the browser.
So where are we right now?
Well, if you have Firefox, Opera or IE7 - and you don't have any conflicting plugins on your system - you should find that you're able to type in IDNs right now today and get them resolving. Alternatively, you can type in the IDN domain (with extension) into Google or Yahoo and, so long as it resolves AND the front page has already been indexed, that should show up as one of the top search results (usually the first).
Of course, you still have to have the relevant language tools to be able to type that IDN in the first place, but ALL users of non-English OSes should have those tools by default.
Of the major browsers, only IE6 won't resolve IDNs so the more that ANY other browser eats into the IE6 market share, the more folks will be able to make use of IDN.
Looking at the Japanese market for a moment, many companies are resorting to suggesting a keyphrase to search for (in Japanese of course) at the end of their ads, rather than putting an ASCII URL because they believe it's easier to remember a Japanese language keyphrase than an ASCII domain.
Traffic to IDN will vary widely over the next year or so depending on how used to typing stuff in that market is, and how deeply IDN-ready browsers have penetrated that market. There's no one-size-fits-all answer to how much traffic can be expected to "IDNs" since they're not a monolithic entity.
If the IE7 rollout continues at its current pace, it is likely that most major markets will have a majority (50%+) of users able to type IDNs natively into their address bars by the time 2007 rolls into 2008. Beyond that, it's down to "education" i.e. how long does the "hey, you can type domains in your own language now" message take to filter through significant portion of the online population.
The sudden flood of traffic some were hoping for probably won't ever materialise, but there's a definite trickle of traffic already, and it's growing slowly but steadily - given enough time, it will grow into a torrent. It may take years rather than months, but the trend is clear.
While the picture is still cloudy, I believe 2 things are clear: IDN are coming, and IDNs will be in a much better position at the end of the year than they are right at the beginning (even if they still haven't reached total "maturity" in the market)
Right now, most major languages (Japanese, Russian, Korean, Chinese, Arabic etc.) have been fairly well "mined". Having said that, lateral thinking will still net results, especially in the realm of two-word keyphrases (just be VERY sure they're truly "generic" in the target language).
There are a lot of folks out there waiting for the boost from IE7. Microsoft muddied the waters by rolling the new browser out in a staggered fashion via autoupdate i.e. instead of it being presented to all users, it is only being presented to a subset, with that subset growing by perhaps a million a week. As such, it may take many months for EVERY eligible computer user to see an autoupdate for the browser.
So where are we right now?
Well, if you have Firefox, Opera or IE7 - and you don't have any conflicting plugins on your system - you should find that you're able to type in IDNs right now today and get them resolving. Alternatively, you can type in the IDN domain (with extension) into Google or Yahoo and, so long as it resolves AND the front page has already been indexed, that should show up as one of the top search results (usually the first).
Of course, you still have to have the relevant language tools to be able to type that IDN in the first place, but ALL users of non-English OSes should have those tools by default.
Of the major browsers, only IE6 won't resolve IDNs so the more that ANY other browser eats into the IE6 market share, the more folks will be able to make use of IDN.
Looking at the Japanese market for a moment, many companies are resorting to suggesting a keyphrase to search for (in Japanese of course) at the end of their ads, rather than putting an ASCII URL because they believe it's easier to remember a Japanese language keyphrase than an ASCII domain.
Traffic to IDN will vary widely over the next year or so depending on how used to typing stuff in that market is, and how deeply IDN-ready browsers have penetrated that market. There's no one-size-fits-all answer to how much traffic can be expected to "IDNs" since they're not a monolithic entity.
If the IE7 rollout continues at its current pace, it is likely that most major markets will have a majority (50%+) of users able to type IDNs natively into their address bars by the time 2007 rolls into 2008. Beyond that, it's down to "education" i.e. how long does the "hey, you can type domains in your own language now" message take to filter through significant portion of the online population.
The sudden flood of traffic some were hoping for probably won't ever materialise, but there's a definite trickle of traffic already, and it's growing slowly but steadily - given enough time, it will grow into a torrent. It may take years rather than months, but the trend is clear.
While the picture is still cloudy, I believe 2 things are clear: IDN are coming, and IDNs will be in a much better position at the end of the year than they are right at the beginning (even if they still haven't reached total "maturity" in the market)