RADiSTAR said:
LOL
"an unrealistically strong dollar" ?
The Euro was $0.92 when it was introduced - currently it's at $1.26
So the dollar is actually competitive, based on an objective value of the trade traffic between the US and the countries of the European Union.
On the other hand, China has kept the exchange rate of their currency against the dollar fixed for years - at 1/8th of the dollar. This is an artificial economy that if it were to be deregulated it would collapse.
On the subject of IDN domains, let's not go through this again for Pete's sake. IDN's stand no chance compared to com/net/org/co.uk/de domains.
The EU is a mess due to financial mismanagement by the new central bank, largely due to Germans and French blaming everyone else for the mess they have created.
I am not sure of the exact exchange rate at launch but I am pretty sure it was worth more than the dollar then. Perhaps 0.92 is correct but it would have been the other way round.
The problems with the dollar are more to do with structure of US economy and the way it is financed than manipulation by the Chinese. Indeed, the Yuan probably isn't greatly undervalued. To talk of a Chinese economic collapse just because the system is heavily regulated and undemocratic, ignores the economic fundamentals. The US economy needs to borrow massive amounts of money from the far east and depends on the importation of cheap manufacturered goods. The world is changing. This is heralded most clearly by the fact that IBM no longer manufacturer the standard PC, for so long known as the IBM compatible. Tell me, how many US cars do see in Europe?
The bottom line is that America is at high risk of a period of stagflation, which is not frankly good news for anyone. From an external veiw point it is difficult to see the political will to even have a serious debate on the key issues, which is rather worrying. The only trajectory for the dollar is down, which will not only reflect difficult times for the US economy, but will hurt the European economy hard as well. Even the Chinese won't be celebrating if the demand for goods starts to dry up, which is real possibility.
What is clear is that when the dust settles the US and EU postions in the world order will be diminished in relative terms. China and India will have significantly more influence and power, with a whole train of other economies following in their wake. It may not be a comfortable picture, but it is one we are all going to have to adjust to. Denial will only exacerbate the situation.
Best Regards
Dave Wrixon