How do you forecast the next five year of internet development?

[dnol]

e.g.
I really have no clear and confirmed clues

 

[Simsi]

I think the focus in the next 5 years will be on mobile and remote access. The Internet is starting to leave the home but is still far from settled in the remote world. We're seeing public wi-fi networks starting to spring up in cities (London's square mile is the latest to put access points on lamp-posts) and as things stand, it can still be a struugle to get and maintain an "on-the-move" connection that is anything more than functional.

Internet on mobiles is still largely restrictive (screen size, connection, speed etc) to anyone but the pre-prepared user, public transport has little or no access facility and satellites are still under-used in this regard. Internet on TV is still largely a pipe-dream at this stage and "interactive" services have a long way to go to challenge PC internet surfing, plus the content side is under-developed due to lack of technical knowledge/access to the everyday developer.

I think developers will be working behind network specialists in providing easier access to information, both public and corporate and I would expect to see some serious development budgets aimed at this area over the next 5 years.

 

[dnol]

great!

 

[b.a]

The internet connection speeds will go faster and faster e.g. 100 Mb/s +
And the results of this:

• Microsoft and Google will start to offer hosted OS. You install just one client OS that connects to hosted OS. You pay yearly license fee. The fee costs depends on specifications you chose e.g. HDD space etc.
  • You don't care about software installation and updates, with just 1 click it is installed to your system
  • You don't care about OS updates, Hosted OS provider do it when necessary
  • You don't care about viruses, Hosted OS provider us centralized virus protection with latest definitions
  • And so on..................

 

[VirtualT]

good thinking, just regged hostedOS.com, net, org, info

$500 DNF coming your way for the idea

edit: I use Google spreadsheets to manage my domains, as it can be accessed from anywhere and I have a fast connection (24/1), its great, so I can definitely see this happening one day with just a thin client at the user end

 

[AlienGG]

That was actually what people thought the Vista would be.

The internet connection speeds will go faster and faster e.g. 100 Mb/s +
And the results of this:

• Microsoft and Google will start to offer hosted OS. You install just one client OS that connects to hosted OS. You pay yearly license fee. The fee costs depends on specifications you chose e.g. HDD space etc.
  • You don't care about software installation and updates, with just 1 click it is installed to your system
  • You don't care about OS updates, Hosted OS provider do it when necessary
  • You don't care about viruses, Hosted OS provider us centralized virus protection with latest definitions
  • And so on..................

 

[b.a]

good thinking, just regged hostedOS.com, net, org, info

$500 DNF coming your way for the idea

Google search for Hosted OS - 14,700,000 Results
500 $DNF received, thanks

 

[VirtualT]

nah you gotta put the quotes around it:

[SIZE=-1]Results 1 - 10 of about 1,840 for "Hosted os".

but still, whats 30 odd bucks in this game that could end up being 30k in 5 years, you have to be in to win!
[/SIZE]

 

[AlienGG]

Try this instead. Without quote mark means nothing.

Still good keywords with 1850 results.

nah you gotta put the quotes around it:

[SIZE=-1]Results 1 - 10 of about 1,840 for "Hosted os".

but still, whats 30 odd bucks in this game that could end up being 30k in 5 years, you have to be in to win!
[/SIZE]

Don't put a time there. It may happen next year or never.

Funny thing is, HostedOS.com was first regged on 11/10/1999 by Infotonic, Inc. in DC.

 

[Gerry]

In less than 5 years (2-3):

.mobi will be a monster that connects nearly 6 billion cell. phones/pocket devices (current estimates are 3.5 billion in use now)

.cn will be the Asian domain address. Many Asian nations already communicate effectively with one another and are able to recognize common characteristics of their languages and writtings. Plus, the shear fact of nearly 2 billion population and China's express desire to have more computers in China than the whole world combined by the year 2009 marks this as being the case.

IDN will be commonplace and not the exception. Browsers will have to evolve to become the translator rather than reconfiguring the keyboard. This will also mean more and more options for multilingual sites or a build in language selector/translator within the browser or OS. Many countries, most notably China, are already pushing very heavily IDN to be used by its citizens along with mandating usage of its .cn and .in extensions over the .com. India has recently followed China's lead. Be skepitcal if you wish, but these are the number 1 and number 2 most populous countries on the planet as well as economic and commerce powerhouses. They want their own languages and characters and script.

What was once felt to be the English language as the common thread to internet usage will be less and less viable due to the changes (3-5 years) brought about by IDN and ccTLD. Most nations are already multilingual and will be able to rapidly and readily accept the changes. This may not be a good thing in the long run as their will be a greater tendency for a disconnect between nations and populations as there will be a shift to use their own ccTLD rather than a commonplace TLD as well as native characters. China has already mandated that all government offices and entities use the .cn. This is simply the first step towards this evolution and revolution of the Internet usage. In my opinion, the US is perhaps the least multilingual of all nations and superpowers and economies on the planet. This opinion is based on years in the Military Service abroad in Asia and Europe as well as current travels and trips. If we (the US) are becoming multilingual it is because of an influx in immigrants into the country rather than Americans willing to learn a new language for the sake of the enjoyment or for future travel and communication plans. This is my opinion but it is based on years of travel and living abroad.

In efforts to adopt and adapt to the above, .mobi will also become IDN compatible. The acceptance of the changes for the .mobi will be much more easier to overcome and implement than the already steadfast other extensions. Already many Japanese, Korean, and Chinese cell phones do not display English Alphabets on the number keypads. Currently .mobi is in its infancy and is perhaps the most flexible and obvious to be revised and evolve to demands and trends.

.com will still be big but will lose a tremendous marketshare and usage to all the above.

The same members will be right here bitching and arguing and letting all this pass them by

 

[petrosc]

In less than 5 years (2-3):

The same members will be right here bitching and arguing and letting all this pass them by

lol:lol: very well put

 

[VirtualT]

Funny thing is, HostedOS.com was first regged on 11/10/1999 by Infotonic, Inc. in DC.

where did you get that info from?, whois.sc history only shows going back to 2002

 

[dnk]

.mobi will not become very popular, it is difficult to read on a mobile.

 

[Gerry]

.mobi will not become very popular, it is difficult to read on a mobile.

So wasn't the first computer I ever saw...pixels for letters, green screen, green text...I think it may have been an old mac or TI.

If it is difficult to read, then you are not viewing mobi content.

Try boroughs.mobi or fux.mobi (sorry for the shameless plugs)

 

[Thomas Nash]

but why would people use .mobis when .coms are increasingly compatible with mobiles anyway? take the Nokia N95, you can pretty much use it like a PC.

 

[Fredo]

but why would people use .mobis when .coms are increasingly compatible with mobiles anyway? take the Nokia N95, you can pretty much use it like a PC.

See the difference between those two sites from your PC:

http://www.nokiaforbusiness.com

http://www.nokiaforbusiness.mobi

Using 2 different sites like that allows you to optimise the layout, content, photos for the device you are using. What's the problem in typing .mobi from your mobile phone and .com from your PC ?

 

[Poohnix]

See the difference between those two sites from your PC:

http://www.nokiaforbusiness.com

http://www.nokiaforbusiness.mobi

Using 2 different sites like that allows you to optimise the layout, content, photos for the device you are using. What's the problem in typing .mobi from your mobile phone and .com from your PC ?

Well, the issue I see with .mobi is that for standard companies, not services made specifically for mobiles, it would make more sense and be more customer friendly if the selection of what is shown is done in the server end, depending on if it's a pc or a mobile that connects. Some already does this.
It doesn't make sense to require the customer to remember two addresses.

Services specifically developed to mobiles is another matter, where the .mobi is a stand-alone service.

 

[Gerry]

.com is one format.

.mobi is another format.

That is the gist of it.

Two addresses? How difficult will that be? Google.com...Google.mobi.

Right now as I type this I am more than 200 miles from where I was this morning. I am out in the middle of nowhere with my laptop and a Verizon wireless card.

Tell me that was possible two years ago.

Why don't I have my cell phone? I despise the damn things. I don't have it with me. Don't want anyone to call anyways. Have a phone that internet capable but I decided I don't want the internet all the time.

Using this laptop as it is the first time I have taken the wireless card so far out in nowhere land and thought I would just try it. Another good example...who wants to carry a laptop out in the middle of a forest? carry the cell phone. Much easier to manage.

Again, who would have thought this was possible a few years ago? Someone did. That is why it is here today.

Later. It's windy and cold.

 

[Dale Hubbard]

but why would people use .mobis when .coms are increasingly compatible with mobiles anyway? take the Nokia N95, you can pretty much use it like a PC.

The milestone will be when these phones support real Flash and not a subset.

 

[IDEAS4]

Take a look at this awesome video called "Did you know."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xHWTLA8WecI

it a few minutes long and does some great mathematical projections into the future population and education trends - might be some thought starters for some domain name ideas.

Art