chatcher said:
What about the proliferation of Internet users?
And a few billion more users.
ain't we little too enthusiastic? there are 6 billion people on the planet now, and i'm sorry i just don't see a few billion more internet users in next 3-4 years
unfortunately, i happen to agree with richard's post. i also feel that domains in general will go down in value as new domain extensions and new internet technologies, and new ways of finding information on the net are introduced. obviously the last ones to go down will be dot coms, so i still see a good future for them (at least in short to mid term, if for no other reason then because of so many billions of branded business are heavily tied to them: amzon.com, yahoo.com etc...) but that doesn't mean that everything else and all other domain extensions will be worthless. there will always be different values for different people, and that will always drive a demand for certain names and extensions.
but once again, i believe that in future speculation on domain names alone will not be enough to make riches, or even living, as website development and website speculation should ultimately replace domain spec.
but then again i could be way off. when you think about it, despite recent technological advances we still continue to use early 20th century inventions. we ride trains, drive cars, watch tv.. for 50+ years straight, so who is to say that 50 years from now we still won't buy books at amazon.com, or read about latest domain sales at dnjournal.com.. or that we won't hear from mole trying to confuse us with the valuations of the latest icann domain extensions?
finally, i think we shouldn't be overly concerned of the future, nor we should feel overly confident. i think the truth shall ultimately lay somewhere in the middle of that, as it usually always does.
ps
i would also like to hear other members and their opinions on this topic?