Trademark disputes are fact-intensive, and outcomes in UDRP cases are determined on their own facts, along with being highly panelist-dependent on some issues.
One of the ways that doctors and hospitals boost their "success rate" with certain types of medical procedures is by refusing to take patients which do not have a higher than average chance of being successfully treated. This same principle applies to attorneys, and it is one of the reasons why attorney advertising regulations prohibit attorneys from advertising based on statistical outcomes in certain kinds of cases. There are attorneys who nonetheless advertise on such a basis. If you think you have found an attorney who wins every time, then what you have found is a dishonest attorney.
UDRP proceedings are decided in favor of the complainant more than 80% of the time. That is the raw, hard fact. Furthermore, since that statistic was published, both the NAF and WIPO appear to have rotated out certain panelists who were perceived as respondent-friendly, and have rotated-in quite a few new panelists, as NAF and WIPO primarily compete on the basis of attracting complainants.
There are some instances where I have provided a sober assessment that a potential client has very poor chances of success. I do not provide false optimism in those instances, and quite often suggest that they would be better off saving their money. You'd be surprised how often people can become downright angry with me when I tell them that I don't think they have a good chance of proceeding.
In other instances, a potential client may decide that a defense is worthwhile despite a less than average probability of succeeding. Many issues in UDRP proceedings are not cut-and-dried, but no amount of persuasive skill is going to change the facts. I have even been asked to take cases not even for the purpose of winning, but merely to extend the time that a domain registrant may use for continuing to use the name and/or make preparations for transitioning to another domain name.
You will note, for example, in one of the cases you cited, one of the panelists not only disagreed with the other two, but would have found reverse-domain hi-jacking on the part of the complainant. That's quite a wide spread of opinion on the panel. Had it been a single-panelist proceeding with only that panelist, the decision would of course have been the opposite of the majority opinion. That's just the way it goes. The UDRP is a binary outcome process, and I treat wins in "easy" cases as a bonus. Once you turn a decision over to a third party, anything can happen.
I work on an hourly rate basis, and do not take cases on a contingent fee basis. If there are other attorneys who have the luxury of unpaid time with uncertain outcomes, then by all means you should select such an attorney.
However, I do not profess to win every case, nor have I ever made such a claim. I do counsel potential clients of their chances based on experience with similar cases, and the decision to proceed is entirely up to them. In situations which I perceive to be hopeless, I do in fact suggest that the potential client may want another attorney or may seek an alternative to defending the claim. But I have never, ever, counseled a prospective client to the effect that I am some sort of miracle worker or that they have a guaranteed win. No attorney can promise that, and if one does you should run in the other direction.
Every defense has a realistic probabilty of being unsuccessful. I have defended dozens of UDRP and ACPA cases, and the laws of probability apply to me as they do to everyone else.
It is interesting that you state I am "2 for 4" in 4 recent cases, but only post links to the ones in which the defense was not successful. Of course, on can produce various ratios depending on how many cases, or what time window, one considers. You might as well post that I had a 0% success rate on the day of any particular adverse decision.