- Joined
- Jul 11, 2011
- Messages
- 1,257
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- 147
The fiasco was predictable for many reasons, but suffice it to say that industry-specific TLDs have always failed:
.aero .museum .coop .jobs .etc...
I'm not sure how predictable this situation was. Certainly, quite a few domainers who had been through .TEL, .MOBI, etc. abstained from playing the .XXX table and made loud predictions of failure. But I wonder how closely their rationale from a year ago matches my assessment of the situation as it currently stands.
There are a few different questions: (1) Will .XXX turn out to be a domainer-friendly investment in the long run? I think the odds are 70/30 against. (2) Will .XXX succeed online among consumers and for webmasters in the long run? Here I think the odds are 80/20 in favor.
To me the situation still appears different with .XXX. That is to say that I see a realistic market void for .XXX to fill whereas there has been no need for .TEL or .AERO. I say this precisely because adult webmasters are using lousy .COM domains and haven't yet tried a "destination site" branding model. If they did, they'd find a wider variety of strong naming options in .XXX. And those would generally be cheaper than the corresponding .COM.
Hindsight is always 20/20, of course. Personally, I think that .XXX will eventually become a part of the developed landscape, including quite a few destination sites of the kind I've alluded to. However, I don't know whether that will happen soon enough to make investing in .XXX profitable for domainers who adopted strong .XXX domains early on. We'll see.
I may turn out to be wrong on all counts. But I'm not saying this simply because I want to turn a profit on my domains. No, I simply believe that branding works. And the adult industry has been ignoring it for years.
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