Well I can agree with what you just said, and for a few years that is all it was guessing.
But after all the guessing came checking, checking from different fields for the data. To see what side of the guessing it was on, and then after that having all the others checking that data. After all the study to prove and disprove global warming, 90% of the pro's agree a good bit of it is man made global warming.
You must then add the ways man, is pushing the earth to it's limits. First we got all the CO2 from burning fuels, then we got wipping out trees at a unfounded rate. Then we got clearing of land, and the usage of land that takes the top soils off the ground. We know that citys and towns, and roads are warmed a few degrees by man made stuff.
We also that smog is a problem in big citys, we also know we are losing land as well. We can also keep track of CO2 levels, and the levels keep going up with the level of fuel that we burn. CO2 gases act much like a green house, it makes the suns rays warm the earth more. Kind of like it may be a little cool out side, but when the suns out good and you get into your car.
The inside of your car is nice and warm, it's the sun and glass that does that, and the CO2 gases do the same thing. Only it's warming the earth at places, where there is higher levels of CO2 gases in the skys. If you look at that map I posted some time back, you can see the places that burn the most fuels. Are warming up the most, and having very strong weather patterns. It also show, how the lower middle states are also having cooler weather.
This cooler weather, is due to CO2 gases pushing aerosol gases to them few states. I live in a state PA where we see global warming, changing the weather patterns here. It's also a state the burns more fuels, so it's easy for us to see what is happening. But it's not as bad as they claim yet, to where we must stop all usage of CO2 fuels so fast. Cutting back will slow it down, and give us the time needed to get to where we can stop using it. But we will still be hit hard by global warming, but hopefully in a much more control way.
The good news is, the tech is being made right now that will cut it. The bad news is, we can not stop it and will have to deal with some pretty hard stuff. We are dealing with some places, hit the hardest by global warming and funds are being used up fast. Soon it will be to the point, the gov't's will have to rise funds to pay for lots of it. Insurance incs are taking steps right now, to deal with global warming. Many people are find they no longer will insure them, in places where global warming will likely hit with worst weather.
State gov't's are also taking steps to deal with global warming, many are having really bad trouble already with funds. Many have over spent dealing with it, and had to under take big projects already to deal with it going ahead. FEMA has been hit hard, and don't have the funds to deal with the peoples loses already. Like here in pa this year, the 2nd biggest flood hit us that was very bad. There was a story about this one guy, that lost every even his house.
The city told the guy he has to take the house down, and it cost $15,000 to get it taken down. But FEMA only give the guy $5,000, and the guys home owner insurance did not cover flooding. So this poor guy lost more then everything, he is in the hole for $10,000 plus lost everything he owned. FEMA's is going broke trying to deal with it all, they don't have the funds to deal with the way they should. All this is no ivory tower I'm in, it's real and people keep trying to say it's not happening.
Here is what happen when they said global cooling, could be a problem back in the 1970's. From news week, it tells what happen back then.
Remember Global Cooling?
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15391426/site/newsweek/