QUOTING seeker
very well put!....
Heck, even .in is way ahead of .cn, and probably will always be (not to mention .us and .info).
Absolute rubbish, China has the world's fastest growing ccTLD! I would not, however, advise on general speculation in dot CN, as phrase registered need to relevant to the market, which most English keywords won't be. My holdings in dot CN are limited to a small number of popular 3 Letter Acronyms.
reasoning: geopolotical and socioeconomical conditions.
China is still a dictatorship that heavily censors the internet.
I as an investor would NOT place serious money in such a market.
here is the catch. Were China to become a democracy (unlikely), or stop its censorship (unlikely), then there no longer will be 1 China (because China is made up of hundreds, if not thousands of provinces that are very independent thinking). that brings us back to the fact that this ccTLD is not a safe investment. it is not a bad investment to resell to fellow investors perhaps, but to end users, you need to be really really lucky.
No, doubt all these thousands of provinces will then adopt English or perhaphs Greek as their official languages and seek accession to the US or EU!
No, none of this is plausible, but in any event, it would only strengthen the value of my dot com IDN investments. I do not have any dot CN, IDN! The Chinese are not going to stop speaking Chinese whatever happens and the fragmentation would favour the gTLDs. If China fragmented into 100 Taiwans, then the value of dot com IDNs would probably be greatly enhanced!
Next reason: China is much much poorer than other countries. it is also way behind in the IT sector than India, the US (and of course a no competitor to gTLD like info etc...)
Nonsense again, China has a much large Internet than India, more domains, more web content! Furthermore, China's economy is bigger than Indias and expanding at a much faster rate!
.us on the other hand is already established, and still has way to go in a free country that doesnt have the economical hurdles of China (nor the social ones).
Contentious
with the thinking of the .cn IDNers, .cn might one day even compete with .DE etc... this is a dream. *IF* .cn ever takes off, the market will be very different, people are not going to pay as much for keywords, and the only way to make money in such a market is to wait very very long. So, If you want to wait 10-20 years for .cn to take off, go ahead and say it *might* compete with .us, on the other hand if you want to make money in a safe for investors environment, invest in .us (or info or biz) and wait a couple of years.
PPC IDN traffic in Japan at least will be a reality the moment IE 7.0 is released. It is possible to park Japanese IDN at Sedo and point them at well populated list of Google Adwords. The price per click is already comparable to the west. Local Overture clearly indicates that Japanese keyword searches are primarily in local characters and Overture scores are often in the 1 Million searches per month bracket. The only reason I can see that we are not getting significant levels of earnings is lack of browser support. Firefox is not big in Asia and it would seem there is not much interest in the IDN Plug-in.
In China things will take a little longer as the main US search engines are less well established and Adwords is poorly populated. Baidu do have well populated PPC adverts but PPC access is problematic at the moment.
Either way, as we have only paid reg fee for any of the domains huge earnings are not required to cover costs.
My opinion of course is just that, an opinion based on my experience. I am not putting down Dave's opinion, he has the right to have it, I just disagree with it as a domain investor.
and of course it is a no brainer that .com is way up there, and as much as .com is the giant in the industry and it towers over .us, so does .us tower over .cn and IDNs
Yes, dot com does tower over everything, even in the Far East, which is why that is where we have invested our money! Dot com IDNs are as much part of the dot com registery as any other dot com domain. When dot us and info are taken out the incumbator at DNJournal, then may be more of us will take them seriously! At the moment Korean dot org IDNs are dropping at a much faster rate than dot US or dot Info are picking up registrations!
Anyway, I can feel one big TOLD YOU SO coming on!
Best Regards
Dave Wrixon