financialtraffic said:
IDN touters remind me exactly of Penny stock pumpers on financial message boards. No offense here, I'm just saying that your zealous take on the IDN market is very similar.
They are always talking about the future and how they can predict it. I think they only end up missing out on today.
I admire branching out into the unknown. IDNs are unknown for the most part. It's unknown if they will ever become a viable portion of the Internet. And most people don't even have an idea of what they or why they'd be useful.
Just remember that .Com is a proven standard that is backed by Billions of dollars in both investment and advertisement. Just think about commercials......"Expedia DOT COM" and countless others flood the TV, Radio, and Media in whole every minute of every day. When something is "big business" it's very difficult to change even when there is a strong catalyst. Think about gasoline. Everyone said that the gas engine will be phased out in the future. They've been saying that for decades. And they say it more often when gas prices get high. But the fact is gas engines work well and even with high gas prices, people and nations are unlikely to change something that as a whole still works.
Type-in traffic is growing for quality Dot com domains. I have quite a few .com domains including many one word domains. I do not notice any sort of drop-off in traffic. In fact, as more baby-boomers retire and become more comfortable with computers, you're going to see just the opposite. Remember, it's still mostly younger people who actively use the Internet. But this is changing every year.
Basically, the .Com holders have become blue chip stock holders. Those who can't afford to get into blue chips now love to speculate in penny stocks, and emerging markets.
IDNs are exactly that. An emerging market with no certainty. Huge risk does sometimes offer huge reward. And I hope you guys do get something back for all of the faith you put into IDNs.
This nonsense. Pennystock are being touted to me by spam all day every day.
I even have the Chinese and Russian at it! The difference with IDN is that they actually will provide a useful service for most of the world which was failed and excluded by the original DNS system. The whole point the DNS is provide a more familiar way of accessing the internet than using IP numbers, which of course still work. The whole point of the DNS system is that it allows browsers to use language instead of numerical strings. If, however, that language is less familiar than numerical strings that they represent, the system is futile.
Try looking at it with boot on the other foot. If the American public were actually being asked to access the internet in Chinese characters, which nobody has even suggested that they should, then there would be outrage. And don't forget it only a couple of generations ago that the Chinese were colonised by the Japanese and then had British warships on the Yangtze river. River. It not just a question of seemless access, but also of national pride.
The Chinese use dot coms more than dot cn and that won't actually change as dot com supports IDN. The chinese would of course like to use a local representation of the dot com extension, but as long as it seen as being an international TLD rather than a tool of American neo-colonialism, then of course they will want to use dot com as well, albeit largely in its IDN form.
What is not going to happen is, that suddenly from nowhere, people are going to start spontaniously typing in by using using a Chinese/English dictionary. Their main input device will be for Chinese characters, so all the arguments of extended keyboards is likely to apply in reverse. They would need to have their desktop cluttered with an English keyboard for no other purpose than to type foreign words into the addres bar.
At present the situation is so dire that their main method of access is by Chinese Keyword service such 3721.com. This clearly is not an acceptable alternative to proper direct internet access enjoyed by the developed world.
In brief the pennystock analogy just won't hold water.
Best Regards
Dave Wrixon
RESONSE TO DomainSalesAgent
There is no debate on marketing and website in local lingo etc. That is already happening everywhere.
AGREED.
The debate in relation to localized IDN URLs...
Is it really so difficult to type in a few letters like sohu.com, 163.com or Google.cn, Paypal.cn ?!
AGREED BUT THIS IN ITSELF SUGGESTS THAT THEY WILL REQUIRE A PORTAL TO ACCESS THE INTERNET AND THAT GOOGLE WILL REMOVE ANY SIGNIFICANCE OF KEYWORDS FROM ITS SEARCH ALOGORITHMS. NOT SOMETHING YOU DOT COMMERS SHOULD REALLY BE ADVOCATING.
Or will it somehow dilute the experience for locals when the rest of the site is in the local language but the URL is English?
The people in China (and India) using the Internet are usually educated (English starts from c 7yrs?) so they should have no problem with the English URL. To be blunt its not the uneducated unwashed masses who are using the internet. Applies to everywhere in the world.
And where else do you think all that Chinese traffic that doesn't convert comes from? LOL
Also many words are universal eg. Poker, Sex, Internet...and will get type-ins.
I DONT BELIEVE IT IS THE IDNERS THAT ARE THE ONES BEING CONDESCENDING HERE. YOUR INFERENCE IS THAT THERE OWN MOTHER TONGUE, WHICH IS MANY CASES IS SPOKEN BY A HELL OF A LOT MORE PEOPLE THAN ACTUALLY SPEAK ENGLISH IS SOMEHOW NOT VALID. WE HAD A SIMILAR SITUATION WITH THE FRENCH TWO DECADES AGO AS THE ENGLISH COMMUNITY WAS INSISTENT AT ONE POINT THAT OPERATING SYSTEMS COULD ONLY BE ACCESSED IN ENGLISH. ONE OF THE REASONS THAT THE GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACE WAS INTRODUCED WAS TO GET ROUND THE LANGUAGE PROBLEM.
Moreover, buying IDN domains is hardly the leap of faith like getting .COMs 10 years ago. And remember, back around c1997 this was BEFORE many people (including many domainers here) were even on the internet!
More like a quantum (very small) leap at most in the grand scheme of things.
NO BUYING IDN SHOULD NOT BE A LEAP OF FAITH, UNLESS YOU ARE CONVINCED BY THE ARGUMENTS ABOVE FOR EXSPONGING IT FROM THE INTERNET.
And while there have been small number of sales in German IDNs it can EASILY (and increasingly so) be circumvented by using eg. -oe- for u+umlaut etc. Similar for Spanish words too. No problem.
Definitely will NOT see the $10,000s sales. Strictly niche.
So your only hope is Chinese/Korean etc IDN domains.
GERMANS ARE HUGE INVESTORS IN IDN. WHILST THERE ARE LESS THAN 300k DOT DE REGISTERED, I BELIEVE THEY HAVE ALREADY REGISTERED ABOUT A MILLION IN TOTAL, MOSTLY DOT COM AND SIGNIFICANT NUMBERS OF THESE ARE NOT GERMAN, BUT CHINESE.
Price is a function of (ultimately corporate end-user) demand and I just don't see it ever catching on with the big boys who always lead and influence the market.
Not until Ebay.com.cn, Paypal.cn, Sina.com, Netease.com, 163.com, ChinaTelecom, ChinaMobile, Legend, Haier and 1000s others start using IDN URLs. Why would they, esp. as many of these names are NOT GENERIC. It's called branding, LOL.
So what's the catalyst for the change in users habits for them to "use IDN to access the internet"?
IN KOREA THERE IS NO NEED AS THEY ARE WIDELY USED AND ACCEPTED.
IN CHINA THERE HAS BEEN LIMITED INDIGENOUS DEVELOPMENT OF WEBSITES IN GENERAL. SITES LIKE SINA AND BAIDU LARGELY ORIGINATE FROM CALIFORNIA. WHILST THE CHINESE ARE ALREADY BIG BROWSERS, THEY ARE SMALL TIME DEVELOPERS AT PRESENT. THE CHINESE GOVERNMENT IS ACTIVELY PROMOTING THE USE OF IDN SUPPORTED BY i-dns.net OF SINGAPORE, WHOSE APPROACH IS CONTRAVERSIAL AND SERIOUSLY RISKS FRAGMENTATION OF THE INTERNET AS IT IS EFFECTIVELY USURPING THE TOP TLDS DOT COM AND DOT NET.
Will Joe Chan six-packs lead the way by getting IDN DOMAINS and starting website development on them en-masse?
NO
Or even if that happens will his likely half-assed attempt further erode the equity of whatever IDN-domains had?
And somehow the Big Boys are going to follow this lead, right?
Status quo rules. If not, explain how?
YEAH, LIKE BIG BLUE STILL DOMINATES THE COMPUTER HARDWARE MARKET.
And provided (and they are) these companies require int'l capital and foreign stock exchanges they will ALWAYS have that ENGLISH-name DOMAIN.
THAT IS PRETTY IRONIC WHEN YOU CONSIDER THAT JAPAN AND CHINA ARE KEEPING AN INSOLVENT AMERICA AFLOAT WITH THEIR EXCESS CASH.
So you are right: jack sheet is gonna happen until de big boys start using them.
Ain't nuthin' you small specs (or even VAxis, LOL) is going to change that.
And if you are nervous because you have "bet the farm" and over "invested" in IDN domains, there is an investment saying: Sell down to your "sleeping level".
ANY SPECULATOR LIVES ON THE ADRENALIN AND THIS IS NO DIFFERENT. YES I WOULD LIKE TO AFFORD HOLIDAY HOMES IN THE SUN AND I AM INPATIENT FOR THAT TO HAPPEN. I DON'T DOUBT THAT IT WILL, ITS MORE A MATTER OF TIMESCALE. I AM FED UP WITH HAVING TO WORK, AND I WANT TO ENJOY THE REWARDS WHILST I AM STILL YOUNG ENOUGH.
Best Regards
Dave Wrixon